push sau check?

[Q_E_D]

mtt 8k party poker 19 jucatori ramasi

***** Hand History for Game 7436256712 *****
75000/150000 Tourney Texas Hold'em Game Table (NL) (MTT Tournament 42360883) - Tue Oct 07 14:51:18 EDT 2008
Table 502194 (Real Money) -- Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: nickie667 (920891)
Seat 2: enniskillen (889992)- nici o inf despre el
Seat 3 bb: hero(695139)
Seat 4: wim2222 (131271)
Seat 5: BLOGGSYBOY (1979053)
Seat 6: eisdieler84 (320300)
Seat 7: MdZauberer (1472669)
Seat 8: rascal303 (1089401)-10 miini(din 10 a jucat 2: push din utg cu QQ si push cu AJo din BB la raise si reraise)
Seat 9: cooldad27 (1474148)
Seat 10: paula63111 (3195299)
enniskillen posts small blind (75000)
ancablaj posts big blind (150000)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to hero [ Jc, Ad ]
wim2222 folds
BLOGGSYBOY folds
eisdieler84 folds
MdZauberer folds
rascal303 calls (150000)
cooldad27 folds
paula63111 folds
nickie667 folds
enniskillen calls (75000)
hero raises (541139) to 691139
hero is all-In.
rascal303 raises (935401) to 1085401
rascal303 is all-In.
enniskillen folds
** Dealing Flop ** : [ Td, Qh, 5h ]
** Dealing Turn ** : [ 8h ]
** Dealing River ** : [ 2h ]
Main Pot: 1572278
Board: [ Td Qh 5h 8h 2h ]
hero balance 0, lost 695139 [ Jc Ad ] [ high card Ace -- Ad,Qh,Jc,Td,8h ]
rascal303 balance 1966540, bet 1089401, collected 1966540, net +877139 [ Js Jh ] [ a flush, Queen high -- Qh,Jh,8h,5h,2h ]

[obs]

Aveai pot odds de 1.7:1. Presupun ca Bubble Factorul era la o medie de 1.5:1, deci aveai tournament odds de aprox. 1.15:1. Deci, per total trebuie sa fii 46.5% favorit in mana ca sa o joci asa. Scoatem 20% Fold Equity si ramanem cu 26.5 din 80, adica aveai nevoie sa ai card odds de 33:66, adica 1:2 ca sa joci. Rangeul adversaruluiu care iti ofera cel putin asa ceva este 5% (88+, AJs+, KQs, AKs). Cred ca avea mai mult de rangeul asta daca a fost atat de reckless sa faca push la un raise si reraise preflop cu AJoff. Deci, push fara regrete.