new poker software - made in Romania

[marinaru]

Vi se pare ca sunteti ghinionisti cand sunteti all-in cu un short stack?
Sau ca adverarilor le intra runner-runnere mai mult decat ar trebui?
Vi se pare ca in poturile mari va "fura" site-ul?

Am definit problema in felul urmator:
"Let's say I have hands H1,H2,....Hn where you are against one opponent and one of you two (or both) moves ALL IN.
Let's name your equities E1(H1),E2(H2).....when an ALL IN situation occurs.

Let's define a function that returns the size of the pot when you WIN and 0 when you loose.
R(i)={ 0, if you loose
POTSIZE(i)/2, if we have a split
POTSIZE(i), if you are the winner
}


R(1)+R(2)+R(3)..................
and
E1(H1)*POTSIZE(1)+E2(H2)*POTSIZE(2)+.............. .

SHOULD CONVERGE!!!"

A facut un program care foloseste baza de date PT si face un grafic+loguri cu analiza.
Este asemanator cu cel din PokerEV cu exceptia:
1) in PokerEv POTSIZE(i) este suma beturilor de pe strada cu 'all in' (si nu total pot size ca la mine)
2) la mine se face abstractie de rake si se considera joc 'ideal' ...no rake
3) graficul este offset-at fatza de X=0

Oki ..de exemplu am dat sa-mi analizeze aprox 250.000 de hands de pe Ipoker filtrand dupa 'all in'-urile cu potsize>80BB



Atentie ca desi l-am testat atat pe o baza de date Access cat si pe Postgresql s-ar putea sa mai aiba bug-uri.

As aprecia daca ati posta graficele in thread-ul acesta cu una din mentiunile
marginal/big winner/looser pe baza de date testata.

Sincer ma intereseaza daca exista vre-o relatie intre "ghinion"/"running bad" si rata de castig/pierdere

Thx

ALL_IN1.1.zip
Holdem.ro nu garanteaza ca acest fisier este virus-free. Il downloadati pe propria raspundere.

[marinaru]

version 1.1 ..improved

un alt tip de explicatie pentru ce calculeaza programul:

"I compute only ALL IN situations for preflop/flop/turn with 2 players ( one moved all in and the other one called). When this kind of ALL IN happens I compute the equity of my hand at the moment the ALL IN happened.I know exactly at this moment how much I should win/loose in the long run.

The 'expected win' as I defined here its always positive because I dont take into account how much money I invested into the pot.

When an 'all in' happens and the other player calls the hands are face up.

I will take an example :

Hand1:
I move all in preflop and the opponent calls
Me:Kc Kh
Him:Ac Ah
Potsize : 1000$

My expected win is my equity multiplied by potsize:
EV(1) = E(1)*POTSIZE(1) = 0.18*1000 = 1800$

Result of the all in AA wins
R(1) = 0

Hand2:
I call an all in with 8c 8d on the following flop: 9h 8h 5h and the opponent turns Ah 2h for a flush
My equity in this 2000$ pot is 0.345 ( Poker Odds Calculator (twodimes.net) )

My expected win is EV(2) = 0.345*2000 = 690$

Turn is a 5d and river is a Jd and I win with a full house.
So result is R(2) = 2000$

Hand3:
I move all in on turn with 6c 7s on board: 9h 8h 2d As
The opponent calls my all in and he has Qh Qd
The potsize is 1000 and my equity in this pot is 0.182
( Poker Odds Calculator (twodimes.net) )
My expected win is EV(3) = 0.182*1000 = 182$

River is a blank and I loose the hand.
So R(3)=0

The sums
EV(1)+EV(2)+Ev(3)+ ..................
and
R(1)+R(2)+R(3)+ ................

SHOULD CONVERGE"




---------------------------

I've added the option to do an aggregated analyze for more than one username because most poker players are playing on more than one poker site (with maybe different usernames).

You can download the latest version from here:

[Pkrbt]

E ceva gen PokerEV de pe 2p2?

[obs]

E un .exe, explicatiile in engleza si prezentarea in romana... Beware!

[marinaru]

E ceva gen PokerEV de pe 2p2?

Oarecum.

De fapt idea cu 'all in with total winnings' din Poker EV a fost preluata de la mine.
Am avut o prima versiune a programului in mod text acu cateva luni pe 2+2 si am discutat cu autorul programului Poker EV in mai multe randuri acolo.

Anyway Poker EV e un program cu alt target si mult mai complex.

E un .exe, explicatiile in engleza si prezentarea in romana... Beware!

Normal ca e un .exe iar faptul ca o parte din exxplicatii sunt in engleza se datoreaza faptului ca e postat pe mai multe forumuri afara (e.g 2+2)